Economic Impacts – Energy Supply and Demand for Deep Decarbonization

 

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This presentation examined the technical challenges and one possible technological pathway toward significantly decarbonizing the U.S. economy by 2050. As researched by MIT and modeled by FTI Consulting and its economic impacts group, the study finds there would be profound regional differences in the impacts on the energy sector and the economy no matter the specific technological pathway taken.

 

Scott Nystrom
FTI Consulting

Scott Nystrom is an expert in macroeconomic, regional, and energy system modeling and applying them to policy analysis and economic impacts and other types of modeling and economic analysis. As the co-lead of the firm’s North American economic impacts group, he uses models such as REMI, IMPLAN, and GTAP daily to model the impacts of legislation, litigation, regulation, and policy on the economy, as measured by metrics like job growth, GDP, and tax collections. His work on economic impact analysis has covered every sector of the economy, including agriculture, natural resources, construction, utilities, manufacturers, logistics, healthcare, and services. 

For the past 11 years, Mr. Nystrom has conducted studies related to climate policy, demographics, economic development, energy, fiscal policy, healthcare, international trade, labor, scope emissions, and transportation policy. Clients have included federal and state government agencies, non-profits and foundations, trade associations, utilities, corporations, and law firms. He was the technical expert on a multibillion-dollar dispute involving default on sovereign debt and the accuracy of the statistics produced by a national statistics office. Since early 2017, Mr. Nystrom has been the de facto chief macroeconomist and policy analyst for the state of North Dakota, which has involved assessing the economic impacts of tax credits, tax reforms, and large private investments. 

Mr. Nystrom’s experience leads him to regularly present to federal and state policymakers. Highlights include presenting his findings to members of Congress on the economic contribution of electric cooperatives; Capitol Hill briefings on federal climate policy; and the impacts of tax incentives and economic development grants to budget committees. These include the legislatures of Arkansas, Massachusetts, North Carolina, North Dakota, Rhode Island, and Vermont. 

Prior to FTI Consulting, Mr. Nystrom worked at Regional Economic Models, Inc. (“REMI”), a firm that specializes in building models of state and regional economies. While at REMI, he was the head of consulting engagements, client training and support, and the Washington, DC office. He has extensive experience with impact models as well as energy system models such as CTAM and the Power System Optimizer (“PSO”) and using them in concert and parallel with one another. 

How Workforce Development in Target Industries Can Put NYC Ahead

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This guest webinar was hosted by Bertrand Teirlinck, a Senior Policy Analyst at New York City Economic Development Corporation. The presentation occured on Wednesday, November 30th from 2:00-3:00pm E.T.

The 21st century has seen the makeup of the New York City economy change drastically, with emerging sectors slowly replacing historical industries. This entails new opportunities for the city’s labor force as the city strives to position itself as a leader. This webinar will focus on fast-growing sectors in New York City and explore the potential economic benefits of pursuing workforce development in these industries.

Bertrand Teirlinck
New York City Economic Development Corporation

Bertrand Teirlinck currently works as a Sr. Policy Analyst within the Economic Research & Policy department of the New York City Economic Development Corporation, focusing primarily on fiscal and economic impact modeling. Prior to joining NYCEDC, Mr. Teirlinck worked as a Policy Analyst within the Real Estate Assessment Center of the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development, where he worked on cost-benefit analyses in relation to the Physical Inspection Alignment Initiative. He also has prior experience in transportation and housing policy acquired through stints in the Office of U.S. Senator Richard Blumenthal and for the non-profit Smart Growth America.

Mr. Teirlinck holds a Master of Public Policy and Management from Heinz College at Carnegie Mellon University and a Bachelor of Arts in Economics and History from Colby College.

Economic Implications of Regional Military and Federal Spending

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To assist JobsOhio, the Dayton Development Coalition, and its regional economic development partners in better understanding the importance of its robust military & federal sectors, ABLE Operations conducted the sectors’ first-ever economic impact analysis. This project utilized the REMI PI+ forecasting model to estimate the ripple effect (direct, indirect, and induced effects) of military & federal spending flowing into every county and installation across the state. The findings were then compiled and presented in a summary booklet designed to inform state and congressional leaders of the sectors’ economic importance to jobs and gross regional product.

 

Presenters:

Matt Schwalb
ABLE Operations

Matt Schwalb is managing partner and senior research analyst at ABLE Operations where he works with clients to better understand how defense spending impacts their local communities. Matt is also the lead analyst of Florida’s bi-annual Defense Industry Economic Impact Analysis and Factbook. Prior to his time at ABLE, he was the senior research analyst at Matrix Design Group and, prior to that, the assistant director at the Haas Center for Business Research and Economic Development. Matt earned an MA in Political Science and an MS in Public Administration at the University of West Florida where his studies focused primarily on policy analysis, research methods, and American political discourse. Throughout his career, Matt has managed various quantitative and qualitative research projects, including several defense and non-defense related economic and fiscal impact studies.

Aaron Schmerbeck
ABLE Operations

Aaron Schmerbeck is founder and managing partner of ABLE Operations where he manages research and data analytics that range from economic, fiscal, and market analyses to workforce analytics.  He holds a PhD in Economics from Florida State University (FSU). His studies focused primarily on financial economics and mathematics.  He maintains an adjunct position at the University of South Florida – Sarasota Manatee (USFSM), teaching a variety of economics and finance courses. Aaron has significant experience in measuring economic and fiscal impacts, workforce supply and demand analytics, financial modeling, and economic forecasting.

Evidence Based Economic Impacts for a Wind Farm Project: Developing Estimates Using Construction and Lifecycle Data

The webinar explored the use of experienced-based data to estimate the economic impacts of a wind farm development on a county in Michigan using a custom-designed REMI model. Estimates were created for both the build out of the facility as we well as the operations. The operations estimates included three components for the 30-year expected life-cycle of the facility. These included: operations & maintenance, payments to landowners, and payments to units of government.

This guest webinar was conducted by Jim Robey, Principal at Robey Analytics and Albert Jongewaard, a Senior Development Manager at Apex Clean Energy, Inc.

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Analyzing the Social and Economic Impact of Broadband Investment

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Our webinar, “Analyzing the Social and Economic Impact of Broadband Investment” was hosted on October 12th from 2:00-3:00 PM E.T. by our Analyst Jeffrey Dykes.

to expand high-speed broadband services nationwide. In this webinar, Jeff will model how this investment affects workforce development, improves infrastructure, and incentivizes domestic job creation. We will use our PI+ model aided by our SEI module as the base of this analysis. SEI is the premium modeling solution for evaluating the socioeconomic indicators of projects, programs, and policy changes. We will use SEI to model how broadband expansion and investment will affect different demographics and increase digital equity. Jeff will also demonstrate how SEI can be used to evaluate the social economic effects of investments across other utilities.